cc: "Jones Philip Prof (ENV)" <P.Jones@uea.ac.uk>, "Goodess Clare Dr (ENV)" <C.Goodess@uea.ac.uk>
date: Sun, 1 Nov 2009 19:48:00 +0000
from: "Tofield Bruce Dr (LCIC)" <B.Tofield@uea.ac.uk>
subject: RE: Climate change research
to: Deborah Wargate <Deborah.Wargate@suffolkcoastal.gov.uk>

   Apropos our earlier conversation, I read this discussion about Superfreakonomics on Grist



   [1]http://www.grist.org/article/2009-10-13-new-book-superfreakonomics-pushes-global-cooling
   -myths



   Phil may well have other rebuttals



   Bruce
     ______________________________________________________________________________________

   From: Tofield Bruce Dr (LCIC)
   Sent: 24 August 2009 18:53
   To: Deborah Wargate
   Cc: Jones Philip Prof (ENV); Goodess Clare Dr (ENV)
   Subject: RE: Climate change research

   Hi Deborah

   I'm copying your e-mail to people more expert than myself in the detail of climate change
   measurement and modelling.  Phil or Clare - could you perhaps send any relevant papers to
   Deborah.  It is important that the Suffolk Climate Change Strategy gets the best advice it
   can - they are doing a great job overall.

   However, while it is sad that there seem still to be climate change deniers (who are
   probably responsible directly or indirectly for the response you quote) there are a number
   of sites that can provide helpful insight.

   One of the most useful is realclimate.org which needs a bit of exploring but can usually
   provide a helpful antidote to the lies that are otherwise peddled and which are difficult
   to refute.  In respect of short-term fluctuations in long-term trends - which is what your
   responders are getting at I think - El Nino can have a significant impact.  For information
   on this see
   [2]http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/07/global-trends-and-enso/.

   Extracting a sentence from this:
   The warmest year designation (now in the absence of a strong El Nio) is more clearly seen
   to be 2005 (in GISTEMP) or either 2005 or 2001 (in HadCRUT3v). This last decade is still
   the warmest decade in the record, and the top 8 or 10 years (depending on the data source)
   are all in the last 10 years!

   The link to similar work is to [3]http://www.amos.org.au/documents/item/82, see p9.

   Another place to look for correct information is the Met Office site,
   [4]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/myths/index.html.  Here, the link
   to Fact 2 gives straightforward information about the recent and current situation.  It's
   dire and it is important not to be put off taking action by stupid misinformation.

   Hope this helps - but the people in CRU are the real experts.

   Bruce




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     ______________________________________________________________________________________

   From: Deborah Wargate [Deborah.Wargate@suffolkcoastal.gov.uk]
   Sent: 24 August 2009 15:55
   To: Tofield Bruce Dr (LCIC)
   Subject: Climate change research

   Dear Bruce

   Hope alls well.

   I am trawling through reponses to the SCDC climate  change strategy to present a report to
   the Green Issues Task Group and one concerns me as I may well be challenged on it and it is
   not a piece of research I am familiar with:

   The response is:

   The premise that warming of the climate system is unequivocal is false - research published
   by inter alia the climatic research unit of the University of East Anglia shows that the
   combined global land and marine surface temperature has fallen since 2004.

   Now unfortunately it does not give any more information as to the name of the research etc
   although I suspect looking at the CRU  website  it is

     Brohan, P., J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, 2006: Uncertainty
   estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J.
   Geophysical Research 111, D12106, [5]doi:10.1029/2005JD006548

   Do you know 1) where I could get a look at a copy of the above

   2) if the person could be refering to anything else and where I can get copies of that

   If you can answer these queries and have any other thoughts that would be much appreciated.
   I am writing to a tight timescale - report due in on 3rd Sept.

   Kind regards


   Deborah Wargate
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