date: Mon, 06 Apr 2009 14:47:18 +0200
from: "Eric BARDOU" <Eric.BARDOU@crealp.vs.ch>
subject: Dear Sir,
to: <t.osborn@uea.ac.uk>

   Dear Sir,



   In charge of a project trying to inevstigat the link between debris flow and rock glacier
   in high alpine environement, I am seraching for publication about the potential increase of
   rainfall intensity due to climate warming.



   I have seen your paper (Evidence for trends in heavy rainfall events over the UK), but also
   other papers (related to the Alps) that show either a "non-trend" behaviour for the 20th
   century or even a decrease (based on prevision).



   May I ask you if you think that :

     * there will be increase in intensity everywhere in the world (this is what we could
       think from a simple energetical point of view)
     * that the non-trend behaviour for alpine region could be also due to weakest data (or
       shorter time serie) or any other artefacts (simplification)
     * that maritime region could react more straightforward to change than mountineous area
       where meteorology is dependant from more variable (topography, changing albedo across
       season, thermal inertia due to snow and ice, etc.)

   Do you know if there is a paper that make the summary (from a scientific point of view) of
   the possible evolution of the rainfall  characteristics around the world



   Thank you in advance



   Best regards



   Eric



   **************************
   Dr Eric Bardou
   CREALP (Alpine environment research center)
   av. de l'Industrie 45
   CH-1950 Sion
   Switzerland
   phone +41 27 324 03 80
   GSM +41 79 423 45 42
