cc: t.osborn@uea.ac.uk,hpollack@umich.edu,joos@climate.unibe.ch, rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de,drind@giss.nasa.gov,tcrowley@duke.edu
date: Fri, 17 Jun 2005 20:31:11 +0100
from: Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>
subject: First draft of FOD
to: jto@u.arizona.edu,eystein.jansen@geo.uib.no

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Peck and Eystein
one day after the deadline only!
attached in separate emails (only to you two - for integration and 
distribution) is the text and 2 Figures for the 2000 year section. I have 
included the last part (in green) as sent (I believe in preliminary form) 
by Ricardo (this is in green to indicate that I have not tried to edit it 
until  Ricardo and others are ready- though I think it may be too large 
already - but see later). The section presently in blue, must (I think) be 
taken out (either to be put in supplementary information - as could other 
sections that I have actually taken out of the ZOD already - or dumped. I 
will not work on this assumption yet in case it will not happen).
I have put in a bulleted summary section at the end (not including regional 
bullets) - please consider these as my contribution to the potential new 
bullets).
We will have to see where the SH section Ricardo is writing with Ed Cook 
will go - no matter how brief I belive this has to go in - the large-scale 
moisture stuff from the ZOD has gone from this draft also and, if retained 
in some form, will have to go in the regional section also - as will 
monsoon if we have it - I do not see how this will can be accomplished 
without very heavy editing of this section (happy to help with this when 
appropriate).
I have tried to incorporate all comments received on ZOD , while putting in 
the degree of detail I thought necessary about the most important stuff as 
I see it - given the severe space constraint I realise this needs further 
pruning but it will mean cutting flesh. David,Stefan, Fortunat and  Henry 
and Tom Crowley's comments are essential now (we agreed to add Tom as  CA 
in Beijing). Henry will need to help in paring down the GST citations where 
possible (hope he understands my attempts to revise his section while 
trying to keep all interested parties opinion's in mind).
I particularly  need feedback soon on the Figures - which Tim has worked 
heroically on (as well as helping me with text)  for the past weeks. We 
believe we have come up with a great solution to a really difficult job of 
conveying a massive amount of information in these , clearly. Note the 
expanding time scale on the reconstruction Figure - and our way of showing 
the "average " confidence limits (*1.5) . This information is then 
transferred , after adjustment to another base period, to the simulations 
Figure . At least , the lower part of this must have a great chance of 
making the SFP.
I am not sure how much space this text will take up after you reformat, but 
the Figures and associated legends should be allocated their own 2 pages. I 
am here for the next 2 weeks at least and ready to interact with yourselves 
and others regarding the next steps - especially for the regional section - 
but we need strong direction from The CLAs ( and the uncensored opinions of 
the LAs and CLAs on the current content and priorities .
Over to you now

--
Professor Keith Briffa,
Climatic Research Unit
University of East Anglia
Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K.

Phone: +44-1603-593909
Fax: +44-1603-507784


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