cc: Mike Wallace <wallace@atmos.washington.edu>
date: Tue Apr 15 14:48:27 2008
from: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Re: Press release
to: David Thompson <davet@atmos.colostate.edu>, John Kennedy <john.kennedy@metoffice.gov.uk>

    John,
       Meant to reply earlier but got sidetracked.
    Sounds good. Reiterating why the recent cooling is occurring
    would be useful.
    Another way of showing this is to take two of Dave's series. You have one
    - HadCRUT3v monthly
    the other is the file Dave has sent me. This is the ENSO component. If Dave
    has this up to date, you could then show global T without ENSO. Worth
    considering when you discuss things with Chris.
      It will play down 97/98 and play up recent values.
    Might only need to show raw and ENSO factored out for the last 20 years.
    Don't factor COWL out - as that might be more influenced by global warming,
    not that ENSO isn't....
    Cheers
    Phil
   At 14:15 15/04/2008, David Thompson wrote:

     John,
     This sounds like a good plan.
     I expect we'll get the proofs in a few weeks... my best guess is that the paper will
     appear late May or early June.
     Phil: what are your thoughts? Do you want to entrain Dick?
     -Dave
     On Apr 14, 2008, at 5:31 PM, John Kennedy wrote:

     Dear all,
     We (David Parker, myself, Chris Folland's successor and others) are
     having a meeting here later this week to discuss this.
     I thought that given the recent interest in the relatively low global
     temperatures in Jan and Feb 2008, it might be interesting to run the
     filtered series up to the present. I don't know how easy this would be
     to do, but I expect it would show that the dip at the start of this year
     is associated with internal variability - chiefly La Nina.
     Dave, do you know (roughly) when the paper will appear?
     John
     On Mon, 2008-04-14 at 17:00 +0100, David Thompson wrote:

     Hi Phil (and John),
     I agree a preemptive press release is a very good idea (I've chatted
     with Mike and he shares this view, too).
     As for logistics: do you and John (that is: UEA and the Hadley
     Centre) want to craft the first draft? Mike and I could then offer
     comments on the draft (Mike might even run the release by the UW
     press folks to get their opinion). I don't plan to involve the CSU
     press folks with the exception of sending them the final version.
     I don't have any specific suggestions, except that it might be nice
     to consider a "question and answer" format which clarifies what the
     results do and do not say about the quality of the data.
     I'm not entirely comfortable asking the editor to do a news and views
     item, since that seems like the editor's role. But if you feel
     strongly about this, I could send him a short email suggesting a
     possible author (Dick Reynolds).
     -Dave

     --
     John Kennedy  Climate Monitoring and Research Scientist
     Met Office Hadley Centre  FitzRoy Road   Exeter   EX1 3PB
     Tel: +44 (0)1392 885105   Fax: +44 (0)1392 885681
     E-mail: [1]john.kennedy@metoffice.gov.uk   [2]http://www.metoffice.gov.uk
     Global climate data sets are available from [3]http://www.hadobs.org

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     --------------------------------------------------------------------
     David W. J. Thompson
     [4]www.atmos.colostate.edu/~davet
     Dept of Atmospheric Science
     Colorado State University
     Fort Collins, CO 80523
     USA
     Phone: 970-491-3338
     Fax: 970-491-8449

   Prof. Phil Jones
   Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
   School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
   University of East Anglia
   Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
   NR4 7TJ
   UK
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