date: Mon, 02 Jul 2001 09:29:17 +0100
from: Noam Bergman <N.Bergman@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Re: [ngp-list] Press Release 'Global Warning' talk establishes
to: list@norwichgreenparty.org

SRosswag@aol.com wrote:
> 
> PRESS RELEASE
> 

> He said: " The climate of the future is what we make it.
> According to the IPCC, ( Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) the world
> can
> expect a rise in temperature as large as 6 degrees by 2100, or as little as
> 2.5 degrees centigrade.  The difference between temperature forceasts depends
> on the societies and the economies we create within the next 30 years.
> Within the lifetime of one generation, our children will experience sea level
> rises by either 50 centimeters or as low as 20 centimetress above current sea
> levels,  reflecting a temperature rise of 2.3 degrees or 1.2 degrees
> respectively.  Take your pick , it's up to all of us."
> 

Are you sure about this? As far as I know, much of the difference
between the scenarios is model dependent and prediction uncertainty.
What we do has a major role of course, but let's make sure the science
is right.

-----------------------------------------------------------
Artificial intelligence is no match for natural stupidity!

Noam Bergman :-)
School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK

(office) (44) 1603 593324
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