date: Tue, 18 Jul 2000 11:26:47 -0400
from: "Raymond S. Bradley" <rbradley@geo.umass.edu>
subject: Re: HIHOL
to: Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>

<x-flowed>Here's what keith Alverson sent after I left--I don't really know why I'm 
suddenly the point man for all chapters, but needless to say, it's now July 
18th & I've received nothing1
I have reworked the first sections of our chapter and await your N. 
Atlantic and other parts as soon as you can get to them
Cheers
Ray
______________________________________________

Dear PAGES synthesis writing team.

Thanks to all of you for contributing to a productive meeting in Kandersteg 
last week. Below is a list of deadlines, and a quick reminder about the 
Chapter 8 contributions, that were agreed to. I will soon be sending a 
separate reminder about the glossy brochure.

- Keith

Deadlines:
Ongoing Any figures that you plan to use in your chapter should be sent to 
Alverson as soon as they are available.
July 15         short contributions for Chapter 8 sent to Bradley (cc 
Pedersen and Alverson). [see list below for topics, items in red have 
already been received]
August 15       First authors to send individual draft chapters sent to 
Bradley (cc Pedersen and Alverson)
Sept. 30        First authors to send individual chapter in reviewable form 
to Bradley [including an endnote format reference database] (cc Pedersen 
and Alverson)

rbradley@geo.umass.edu
pedersen@eos.ubc.ca
alverson@pages.unibe.ch



Chapter 8 contributions:

IPCC related list of boxes/myths:

       Medieval warm period is warmer than late 20th century. (Hughes)
       20th century is a rebound from the Little Ice Age (Bradley)
       Solar forcing is responsible for warming in recent decades (Bradley)
       Rates of change in the past are just as fast as recent decades 
(Alverson)
       Climate is not sensitive to greenhouse gas forcing (Raynaud)
       Paleo-proxies do not support the instrumental period (Briffa)
       Biota can adapt to ongoing and projected rates of change (and 
continue to support Humans) (Whitlock)
       Humans will benefit from global warming (Pedersen)
       The next ice age is on its way (duration of the holocene) (Labeyrie)
       We dont need to worry about surprises (Overpeck)
       Sea level will drop due to ice sheet thickening (Labeyrie)
       Human society is not vulnerable to future environmental changes 
(Messerli)
       Technology will solve all potential problems  (Overpeck)
       Human societies have not been influenced by environmental 
variability (Oldfield)

Environmental processes  draw out synthesis points from Ch5&6. (Oldfield)

Uncertainties
Multiproxy and multiarchive  approach (oldfield)
Variations in  teleconnection  patterns (cole)
Stability of transfer functions (briffa)
Changing ecosystem processes (Hughes)
Mechanisms for climate signal phasing in time and space (stocker)


Raymond S. Bradley
Professor and Head of Department
Department of Geosciences
University of Massachusetts
Amherst, MA 01003-5820
Tel: 413-545-2120
Fax: 413-545-1200
Climate System Research Center: 413-545-0659
Climate System Research Center Web Site: 
<<http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/climate.html>http://www.geo.umass.edu/cli 
mate/climate.html
Paleoclimatology Book Web Site (1999): 
<http://www.geo.umass.edu/climate/paleo/html>http://www.geo.umass.edu/climat 
e/paleo/html

</x-flowed>
