cc: Fortunat Joos <joos@climate.unibe.ch>, drind@giss.nasa.gov, rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de, olgasolomina@yandex.ru, hpollack@umich.edu, ricardo@lab.cricyt.edu.ar, jsmerdon@umich.edu, drdendro@ldeo.columbia.edu, tcrowley@duke.edu, oyvind.paasche@bjerknes.uib.no
date: Tue, 9 Aug 2005 10:50:52 -0600
from: Jonathan Overpeck <jto@u.arizona.edu>
subject: Re: Section on last 2000-years
to: Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>

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Hi Keith - This has been a really tough couple weeks for you, and we 
all thank you for finding the focus to help w/ the IPCC.

I'm sure we'll be ok for FOD. Eystein and I will edit what you just 
sent, and send relevant pieces to David, who can check for 
cross-chapter consistency. Fortunat is not available this week. 
And... we don't have any time left for anything else. Of course, 
there is plenty of time for post-FOD improvements as you describe.

Regarding my push to say more about the future, I'll try to keep it 
more subdued. You are right. Of course, where I think paleo directly 
informs the future, I'll keep pushing.

Hopefully, you and Tim will be around for the next 24 hours for 
questions/dialog. We are very close.

thanks again, Peck

>Peck and Eystein
>in case you tried (!), my phone has been broken for the last few 
>days (yes - honestly).
>I am sorry I had to rush off - and stay longer than I had 
>anticipated . The funeral was delayed
>while a post-mortem examination had to be held to establish the 
>precise cause of death. Ironic
>that dad had struggled on having had at least 3 heart attacks, 2 
>strokes, chronic diabetes and partial liver and kidney failure for 
>some years (besides being virtually immobile and completely blind 
>for 18 months). All in all , though it was a release, the actual 
>demise was sudden and unexpected and I managed to arrive too late to 
>be with him at the end.
>Given the time constraint , this "final" revision is not as 
>considered as it might have been , but we have tried to take into 
>account all comments available , and have given considerable 
>attention to the IPCC terminology and emphasis on the bullet points 
>. At this stage , however, there are some clear areas where future 
>work will be required to keep abreast of recent developments and , 
>perhaps, to re-balance the emphasis and structure. I apologise for 
>not having responded directly to Fortunat, Stefan, Ricardo.Olga, 
>David and Tom, but please be aware that I have considered all of 
>their comments and done what I could to address them .Thanks 
>Fortunat and Ricardo (and Ed - who should be added to the list of 
>CAs) for the text and Figures and Henry and Jason for the help and 
>data . David's suggestions about re-ordering the paragraphs was 
>particularly difficult to resolve in my own mind , because I do see 
>the logic , but equally , did not want to interfere with the time 
>line approach to describing post- TAR work that underlies the 
>current structure. as you can see I decided to leave the order as it 
>was. It would be great if David and Fortunat could check cross 
>Chapter referencing (eg in relation to forcings and detection 
>chapters). We can revisit this , and the issue of McIntyre and 
>McKitrick (centering of PCs in Mann et al reconstruction - which is 
>clearly unfounded) until such time as the numerous responses are 
>published.
>The new SH section is in , and the MWP box slightly amended to take 
>account of the new Figure.
>Peck, I have considered your text on the regional section - and you 
>will see that I have edited out some relating to future (and 
>association between drought and SSTs) . I feel strongly that you are 
>venturing into "observational" territory and speculation beyond what 
>we should say. I have also amended the bullet points to reflect 
>this. YOU ARE THE ULTIMATE ARBITERS and it is up to you if you wish 
>to re-insert , but I will give you a continuing argument later about 
>our overstepping the "paleo" boundary. Note also that the bullet on 
>European summer 2004 has bee altered to reflect what was a last 
>minute , one-sentence , insertion in the first paragraph regarding 
>Jurg Lutterbacher's Science paper - as there was no mention of it 
>otherwise. We had to remove the reference to "700 years in France" 
>as I am not sure what this is , and it is not in the text anyway. 
>The use of "likely" , "very likely" and my additional fudge word 
>"unusual" are all carefully chosen where used.
>Tim has been a rock in the last minute rush here - not only doing 
>the Figures , but also helping with the text. I am really grateful 
>to him. He has sent the text , with some comments, and highlighted 
>references, that need attention. If Oyvind can identify references 
>and handle these problems with Endnote , we are also really grateful.
>The final references , if missing , are probably in the current 
>text, the previous Endnote library , or in sections of text sent by 
>Ricardo, Fortunat, Peck and Eystein. I trust when you guys have 
>stiched the new text back in and the Figures etc. we will perhaps 
>get a last chance to correct and check references etc. Thanks
>Keith
>
>
>--
>Professor Keith Briffa,
>Climatic Research Unit
>University of East Anglia
>Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K.
>
>Phone: +44-1603-593909
>Fax: +44-1603-507784
>
>http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/


-- 
Jonathan T. Overpeck
Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth
Professor, Department of Geosciences
Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences

Mail and Fedex Address:

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