cc: Tom Wigley <wigley@ucar.edu>
date: Fri, 07 Sep 2007 09:26:31 -0700
from: Ben Santer <santer1@llnl.gov>
subject: Re: Schwartz
to: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>

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Dear Phil,

Thanks for sending me the Schwartz paper. It's a bit worrying that his 
conclusions rest rather heavily on the Levitus ocean heat content data. 
Steve does not seems to recognize the rather large uncertainties 
inherent in Levitus (see, e.g., Krishna's recent paper in PNAS, which 
I'm appending). Recent work by John Church and colleagues (which 
attempts to adjust ocean temperature data and heat content estimates for 
some of the instrumental biases identified by Gouretski and Koltermann) 
suggests that Levitus may have underestimated the true increase in ocean 
heat content over the 20th century.

I'm not sure whether I'm going to the Indianapolis CCPP meeting. I'm 
feeling kind of burned out after our five-year external review, and lots 
of lecturing over the past few months. But if I don't go, I'm going to 
have to prepare a poster, which I also dislike doing! I'll let you know 
soon.

Best wishes to you and Ruth,

Ben
Phil Jones wrote:
> 
>>  Tom, Ben,
>      I take it you've seen the attached!  Easy to see how this
>  study can be misinterpreted!.
> 
>      Skeptics, deniers are talking things up a lot lately -
>  misinterpreting as usual and accepting what some papers
>  say too readily.
> 
>  Cheers
>  Phil
> 
>  PS Will you be in Indianapolis, Ben - the week after next?
> 
> 
> 
> Prof. Phil Jones
> Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
> School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
> University of East Anglia
> Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
> NR4 7TJ
> UK 
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------                                                                                 
> 


-- 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benjamin D. Santer
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103
Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A.
Tel:   (925) 422-2486
FAX:   (925) 422-7675
email: santer1@llnl.gov
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