cc: d.wratt@niwa.cri.nz
date: Mon May 23 13:39:54 2005
from: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Re: Latest draft text
to: Kevin Trenberth <trenbert@ucar.edu>, Kevin Trenberth <trenbert@cgd.ucar.edu>, Peter Ambenje <omash01@yahoo.com>, Roxana Bojariu <bojariu@b.astral.ro>, David Easterling <david.Easterling@noaa.gov>, David Parker <david.parker@metoffice.gov.uk>, Fatemeh Rahimzadeh <rahim_f@irimet.net>, Jim Renwick <j.renwick@niwa.co.nz>, Matilde Rusticucci <mati@at.fcen.uba.ar>, Brian Soden <bsoden@rsmas.miami.edu>, Panmao Zhai <pmzhai@cma.gov.cn>, Albert Klein Tank <Albert.Klein.Tank@knmi.nl>

    Dear All,
         Kevin is having a couple of weeks off, so I'll be working on the text this week and
   next.
    So send revised pieces of text or your suggestions for changes as soon as you have
    them. Apologies if the UEA system is bouncing emails. Everything crashed over the
    weekend and it is slowly coming back. I've heard from Panmao (he'll send a revised 3.7
    in the next few days) and Fatima (comments by Friday). Any other comments on the new
    CQs and the rest of Kevin's points by Friday and I'll incorporate them all next week.
          In the meantime, let me know of any problems with the schedule we agreed in
    Beijing for the figures and major text revisions (i.e 3.3 for Dave, 3.4.x for Brian,
    3.5-3.6 from Jim/Roxana and 3.8 for Albert). I'll be able to go through sections with
    you before merging them into the full version. Getting all the figures together is the
    first priority.
         I expect to finish 3.2 in the next couple of days and would like to help with 3.3
    and 3.8 next week.
         As for Kevin's points, #5 is an amazing revelation, but I've already heard that UAH
    are wriggling and trying to reduce the effects in their reworking. The sondes do appear to
    be the outlier now work is underway for tropical sondes to separate day and night
   launches.
    All the new work should make this section easier to write and a significant advance for
    AR4.
    Cheers
    Phil
   At 23:07 19/05/2005, Kevin Trenberth wrote:

     Hi everyone
     We presume most of you are working diligently on the FOID when you can?   I have tried
     to advance the text in several respects.
     1) A new CQ has been added, please check it out.  Some accommodation to CQ 1 may be
     needed.  I include a possible figure here.  Other options should be proposed.
     2) I removed box 3.4 and I think I renumbered all.  I put a little of the text from
     there into the main text.
     3) I have to say I am confused over droughts, I understand the decision was to leave the
     main discussion in 3.3?  Not sure how this works?
     4) Brian mentioned moving suface water vapor to 3.4.  Organizationally it does not make
     sense, so I have not done that.
     5) I have revamped once again 3.4.1.  Some amazing new dvelopments have occurred.
     Following the submission of the Mears and Wentz paper and the Santer et al paper (both
     now included), at the CCSP mtg this week, Spencer agreed that T2LT is flawed and will be
     redone.  It could be redone quite quickly: in a couple of months (not in time for FOD).
     It makes all the stuff Christy has done on comparisons with sondes moot and recovering
     from this will take a lot longer.  The sondes are emerging as the outliers in the
     tropics.  The Fu method will now be embraced by CCSP (as we have already done).
     6) I added a para on the 3 new figures, which I am fan of, on SST lat time sections.
     Just a place holder in red.
     7) All the hurricane section has been upgraded and redone substantially.  This also
     brings in the new figure.
     8) Some references have been removed. I also highlighted some older ones that are
     candidates for removal.
     9) Sections 3.5 and 3.6 are up to date.  3.7 still needs a lot of work.
     Figures are being done.
     10) 3.3 is the only section untouched by me.
     11) 3.4.x, x>2 needs work; waiting on Brian.
     13)  3.8 also need work and so does CQ 1.  The results of the regional wrokshops must be
     included soon.
     14) I edited Boxes 3.2 and 3.4.  I have not revisited Box 3.1.
     I will cc David Wratt on this to check out the new CQ.
     Regards
     Kevin
     --
     ****************
     Kevin E. Trenberth                              e-mail: trenbert@ucar.edu
     Climate Analysis Section, NCAR                  [1]www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/
     P. O. Box 3000,                                 (303) 497 1318
     Boulder, CO 80307                               (303) 497 1333 (fax)
     Street address: 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO  80303

   Prof. Phil Jones
   Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
   School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
   University of East Anglia
   Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
   NR4 7TJ
   UK
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