date: Fri Oct 22 08:17:49 2004
from: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Re: IPCC AR4 WG1: will you be a contributor?
to: Mark.Rodwell@ecmwf.int

    Mark,
       It is supposed to be hard, but if you send something to me (and sort of forget Kevin) I
   can
    add it in when I put the thing together. Kevin has some travel in early January, so that
   is my
    major task for this draft.
       So, tell Kevin you'll do something if you want to do something and you'll email towards
   the
    end of November.
        Let me also know in December how you're getting on with Gibraltar. The person in Spain
    is keen to work on the data, but probably not in November as she'll be away.
    Cheers
    Phil
   At 12:57 21/10/2004, you wrote:

     Hi Phil,
     There is no way I can start to produce anything "considered" until I get back from China
     on 10 November. Do you know how hard the 1 November deadline is?

     Cheers, Mark.
     Phil Jones wrote:

      Mark,
        Not sure where we are with a contribution from you re Ch 3 of WGI. I need to read all
     the
      emails from Kevin et al. Knackered at the moment from the flight back from Seattle. I'm
      away all of next week on holiday, but I'll get back to it in November when you're away.
        Main reason  for emailing. Further work on the Gib record would help. I have someone
     in Spain
      who is keen to compare the series with Cadiz/San Fernando and this might help with
      any adjustments needed for the Gib series.
      Cheers
      Phil
     At 14:39 18/10/2004, you wrote:

     Hi Phil,
     I must admit that I had been wondering whether an IPCC contribution on subtropical
     anticyclones could be the impetus I need for completion of the Gibraltar work. The aim
     of the Gib work was, after all, to avoid calibrations that removed any climate change
     signal from the data. Do you have any thoughts on this?
     Regards, Mark.
     f028 wrote:

     Mark,
        I hope the note from Kevin is clear. We are hoping to say
      a lot more than previously in IPCC reports about the
      Circulation.
       I am at the moment sleepless in Seattle at a meeting. I'll
      be back in CRU on Thursday and Friday and then away all
      next week, but in CRU the rest of the year.
        I hope you can contribute something. It needn't be long.
      I did my best to keep you in as a CA. HAve a word with
      Adrian Simmons if you need to.
        By the way, I'm keen when I ever get some time to work more
      on the Gibraltar records. Do you have all the digitised series,
      or should I approach Rob Allan? I have a Spanish colleague
      who is keen to work with me on them and the San Fernando
      series. You can still be involved if you want. I will contact
      Dennis Wheeler for the earlier series as well when I get back.
      Cheers
      Phil

     ===== Original Message From Kevin Trenberth <trenbert@cgd.ucar.edu> =====
     Hi Mark
     Glad you are back.  As you can see we are on a tight schedule: for the
     zero order draft.  But there is time to refine and update for the first
     order draft which is mid 2005.  Your task is not to deal with
     anthropogenic anything, but merely to say what can be said about trends or
     low frequency variability in the subtropical highs and related circulation
     systems.  The thing is I am not sure who else to call on.  At this point
     it can be quite short.  In some instances it may be that not much can be
     said: and we should say that.  The idea here is to get a phenomenological
     perspective to complement the variable perspective of how T and precip has
     changed.  Is there a change in the Mediterranean climate perhaps linked to
     changing Asian monsoon, might be a question to address, for instance.
     So I don't accept your declination, at least yet.
     Kevin

     Dear Kevin,    cc Panmao and Phil,
     I have just got back from holiday. Thanks for your kind invitation to
     contribute to Chapter 3 of the IPCC Fourth Assessment.
     Unfortunately I have an imminent meeting in China to prepare for which
     takes us beyond the IPCC submission deadline of 1 November. Although I
     have published on subtropical highs, I have never investigated the
     anthropogenic aspect of tropical / subtropical climate and so I would
     need to do a considerable amount of reading and personal investigation
     to be able to make any contribution. I am sorry, therefore, to have to
     decline this invitation.
     However, I would be happy to read and make comments on others'
     contributions to section 3.7
     Best wishes, Mark.
     ____________________________________________________________
      Dr. Mark J. Rodwell
      European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
      ECMWF             Diagnostics & Predictability
      Shinfield Park    Tel:   (+44/0) 118 949 9603
      Reading           Fax:   (+44/0) 118 986 9450
      RG2 9AX           Email: mark.rodwell@ecmwf.int
      UK                WWW:   [1]http://www.ecmwf.int
     ____________________________________________________________

     --
     ____________________________________________________________
      Dr. Mark J. Rodwell
      European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
      ECMWF             Diagnostics & Predictability
      Shinfield Park    Tel:   (+44/0) 118 949 9603
      Reading           Fax:   (+44/0) 118 986 9450
      RG2 9AX           Email: mark.rodwell@ecmwf.int
      UK                WWW:   [2]http://www.ecmwf.int
     ____________________________________________________________

     Prof. Phil Jones
     Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
     School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
     University of East Anglia
     Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
     NR4 7TJ
     UK
     ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

     --
     ____________________________________________________________
      Dr. Mark J. Rodwell
      European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
      ECMWF             Diagnostics & Predictability
      Shinfield Park    Tel:   (+44/0) 118 949 9603
      Reading           Fax:   (+44/0) 118 986 9450
      RG2 9AX           Email: mark.rodwell@ecmwf.int
      UK                WWW:   [3]http://www.ecmwf.int
     ____________________________________________________________

   Prof. Phil Jones
   Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
   School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
   University of East Anglia
   Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
   NR4 7TJ
   UK
   ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

