cc: rahmstorf@pik-potsdam.de,drind@giss.nasa.gov
date: Tue Jan 11 22:39:09 2005
from: Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>
subject: where I am !!!!  !
to: jto@jto.inbox.email.arizona.edu ,Eystein Jansen <eystein.jansen@geo.uib.no>

   Basically , I need to send this to you to because there comes a point when I am just not
   able to read it objectively.
   I would really  like you both - and David and Stefan (I am ccing to them only) to look at
   it . Obviously it has grown too much, but the information in here is in my opinion all
   important.
   I suggest removing the regional simulations stuff from the end (as David said earlier!) but
   feel this should be somewhere - also (sorry Eystein) perhaps the ocean  section should go?
   I have dropped the proposed Figure 2 _ after wasting a lot of time on it - there are too
   many problems with getting and understanding data - and then making any sensible conclusion
   on the basis of it. We really must have the two Figures left though - or some variants
   (these need borehole curves including and some way of indicating envelope of uncertainty
   around all reconstructions - perhaps as gray shading of different darkness depending on how
   may confidence limits overlap).
    I would really appreciate a dispassionate look by all of you at the conclusions drawn
   after the the desciption of both Figures - in the light of the discussion we had about
   interpreting these Figures. I am really happy if you and David and Stefan (and Fortunat?)
   consider what is worth and not worth trying to say re the implications of these Figures,
   beyond the TAR. I can not tell if what I am saying is balanced (I know Esper reconstruction
   is very hairy and ECHO-G run has much too great long-term variability - but no evidence
   PUBLISHED to support this - yet at least). Is what I say about the implications of the
   reconstructions banal?
   I have been battling with teaching today and fucked up course scheduling by the
   administration that has outraged some students. Tomorrow I must take daughter back for new
   term in Cambridge - and now must work on proposal for Russian who leaves Thursday and needs
   to submit before then.
   Do have a look and trim , cross reference as needed. The nightmare with these references
   continues also and I will have to get someone to help out here - incidentally our secretary
   has gone absent for a month . I will be back in hopefully by tomorrow afternoon . The
   conclusions (bullets?) should be very brief - but can not see them yet - suggestions
   welcome
   I can try to do something for the methods but would rather you just told me exactly what is
   needed. I will then work on this Thursday and likely happy to accept what you say re this
   text. I know I have not contributed to the discussing on other sections - very frustrating
   - but must wait til after ZOD . Sorry
   Keith

   --
   Professor Keith Briffa,
   Climatic Research Unit
   University of East Anglia
   Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K.

   Phone: +44-1603-593909
   Fax: +44-1603-507784
   [1]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/

