date: Tue Jan 27 13:23:35 2004
from: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Just for information
to: chris.folland@metoffice.com, "Thomas R Karl" <Thomas.R.Karl@noaa.gov>

      Dear Chris and Tom,

                Mike Mann sent me this whilst I was away in Geneva last week. I'm forwarding
   for
    your information. Mike has already submitted a reply (as you might expect). It was due
    out on Jan 27 (as it says), but Mike spotted that their Fig 3a is an altered version of
   what
    appeared in Science (Mann, 2002). This should delay it a few weeks. Mike has already
    been called by one reporter, so they have their media contacts working already (thinking
    it will come out on the AGU web site today).
         No idea how this got past the AGU reviewers. My inclination would be to ignore it.
    It does several things about the TAR - without referencing the relevant chapter. The data
    on the CRU web site are not accompanied by error bars. There is some text, stating what
    they say, but a clear reference to cite.
         I have a copy of Mike's reply if you're interested. He points out all the obvious
   things
    about filtering with examples from NHT and the NAO.  You might be miffed by some of the
    snide comments about the TAR and filtering. I'm surprised the CRU data on the web site
    (which doesn't say it is the same as the TAR) is as close to the TAR as it is !
       I've too much else on at the moment to consider replying. In the future I will make
   sure
    that filtering is adequately explained - I think I do this as did the TAR.
        I've not told Mike I've forwarded this to you, as he wanted it kept quiet for the time
   being.
    I thought you ought to see it and not be surprised when it does come out.
    Cheers
    Phil
    PS to Tom - in the light of Steve Schneider sending the MBH98 comment on MMO3
    to MM to review, it is a bit odd of AGU not to send this to any of us. AGU does now have
    boxes for both suggested reviewers and people not to send it to !

   Prof. Phil Jones
   Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
   School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
   University of East Anglia
   Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
   NR4 7TJ
   UK
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