cc: Christoph Kull <christoph.kull@pages.unibe.ch>, Christoph Kull <christoph.kull@pages.unibe.ch>, rbradley@geo.umass.edu, jan.esper@wsl.ch, anders@misu.su.se, k.briffa@uea.ac.uk, wanner@giub.unibe.ch, p.jones@uea.ac.uk, tcrowley@duke.edu, Thorsten Kiefer  <thorsten.kiefer@pages.unibe.ch>
date: Tue, 28 Jun 2005 08:46:28 -0400
from: Julie Brigham-Grette <juliebg@geo.umass.edu>
subject: Re: Past Millennia Variability
to: "Michael E. Mann" <mann@virginia.edu>

   Yes, this change sounds great and most appropriate Mike.

    thanks...Julie BG  (from Salt Lake)

     Christoph,
     Looks pretty good in general, but there is big problem in wording here:

     * Late 20th century warming is most probably anomalous regarding the past 1000 years.
       However, due to the much sparser network, and generally unreliable character of proxy
       data compared to the modern instrumental network, a solid conclusion about the
       uniqueness of the recent warmth cannot yet be definitive.

     I don't think that this group would agree that "generally unreliable character" is an
     appropriate description. I would suggest something more akin to the following, and would
     be interested in any other thoughts be have on this:
     Late 20th century warming is likely anomalous in the context of the past 1000 years.
     However, due to the much sparser available data, and the more uncertain character of
     proxy data compared to the modern instrumental network, a more definitive conclusion is
     not yet possible.
     thanks,
     mike
     At 08:21 AM 6/28/2005, Christoph Kull wrote:

     Dear all,
     After including your comments, the document regarding "Past Millennia
     Variability" increased in length :-)!
     Thanks a lot for your edits.
     It is the idea to use this statement as a "working-basis" for a planned
     related workshop under the umbrella of PAGES-CLIVAR.
     Finally (after a wider discussion) a revised version may become a background
     statement for future research activities.
     Feel free to send me your comments.
     All the best and greetings from the PAGES office in Bern,
     Christoph
     --
     Christoph Kull
     Science Officer
     PAGES IPO
     Sulgeneckstrasse 38
     CH-3007 Bern
     Switzerland
     phone: +4131 312 31 53/33
     fax:   +4131 312 31 68

     ______________________________________________________________
                         Professor Michael E. Mann
                Department of Environmental Sciences, Clark Hall
                           University of Virginia
                          Charlottesville, VA 22903
     _______________________________________________________________________
     e-mail: mann@virginia.edu   Phone: (434) 924-7770   FAX: (434) 982-2137
              http://www.evsc.virginia.edu/faculty/people/mann.shtml

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