cc: geoff.levermore@umist.ac.uk,j.palutikof@uea.ac.uk
date: Mon, 05 Feb 2001 11:20:45 +0000
from: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Tyndall Project IT1.8
to: m.hulme@uea.ac.uk,n.w.arnell@soton.ac.uk

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  Dear Mike and Nigel,
       Geoff Levermore has just forwarded the letter about this project to the
  co-investigators.  Your comments on this proposal seem particularly short 
sighted.
  The large CRU budget of 6000 for travel and subsistence was to help Ben 
Brabson
  come here (pay his flight and some of his accommodation) so he could work 
without
  pay (as he gets some money from Indiana). We will now not be able to use 
Ben, so
  we will not be able to do anywhere near as much work as envisaged. You 
would have
  got exceptional value, but that will not now be possible.
      The second comment is even worse. We are supposed to put more emphasis on
  future trends, keeping analysis of observed trends to a minimum. If I was 
a reviewer
  of any paper coming from this project I would ask what has been happening 
in reality
  and how well does HadCM3 simulate this. Also UMIST will be looking at solar
  radiation and vapour pressure in their simulation models. Can you tell me 
how well these
  variables are simulated - spatially and temporally ?
     If HadCM3 is not great for these variables and it models different 
extreme temperature
  changes to reality over recent decades, what confidence can we put on the 
future ? We
  can't just blindly take HadCM3 as a future scenario. We need some 
justification.

  Cheers
  Phil


Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich                          Email    p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK 
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