date: Thu Jul 15 14:11:56 2004
from: Mike Hulme <m.hulme@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Fwd: RE: Science Article
to: a.minns,anderson_Kevin

   Kevin (and Asher - if you've been following the fiasco),
   Latest from OST press office.  The attached note is the "official" line for SDK to take.
   Mike

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     From: "Hernandez Tino (Mr AF)" <Tino.Hernandez@dti.gsi.gov.uk>
     To: "'Grubb, Michael J'" <michael.grubb@imperial.ac.uk>,
             "Hernandez Tino (Mr AF)" <Tino.Hernandez@dti.gsi.gov.uk>, King MPST
             <MPST.KING@dti.gsi.gov.uk>, Sir John Houghton <john.houghton@jri.org.uk>,
             "Stott, Peter" <peter.stott@metoffice.com>, N.W.Arnell@soton.ac.uk,
             mike hulme <m.hulme@uea.ac.uk>, "Jenkins, Geoff"
             <geoff.jenkins@metoffice.com>, john.ashton@co2.org,
             chris.anastasi@british-energy.com, Oleg.Eletskiy@britishcouncil.ru,
             Steve.Hunt@fco.gsi.gov.uk, "Korobova Liya [FCO] - Moscow, Russia"
             <liya.korobova@fco.gov.uk>
     Cc: "Evans Simon [FCO] - moscow, Russia" <simon.evans@fco.gov.uk>,
             "Monks Alan (Mr AR)" <Alan.Monks@dti.gsi.gov.uk>, "Holmes John (Mr J)"
             <John.Holmes@dti.gsi.gov.uk>, "Clayton Jeremy (Mr JP)"
             <Jeremy.Clayton@dti.gsi.gov.uk>, "Hodges Joanne (Dr J)"
             <Joanne.Hodges@dti.gsi.gov.uk>
     Subject: RE: Science Article
     Date: Thu, 15 Jul 2004 11:45:05 +0100
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     Michael

     Please see our current lines. The whole strategy we are pursuing in media terms is to
     close this down.

     Tino

     Tino Hernandez
     Trade, Science and Innovation Press Team
     Mike O'Brien,Lord Sainsbury, Sir David King
     V754
     Dep for Trade and Industry
     1 Victoria Street
     London SW1H 0ET
     (: 020 7 215 5965
     Mob: 07715 177502
     7:  020 7 215 0494
     :: [1]www.dti.gov.uk
     8: tino.hernandez@dti.gsi.gov.uk

          -----Original Message-----
          From: Grubb, Michael J [[2]mailto:michael.grubb@imperial.ac.uk]
          Sent: 15 July 2004 10:23
          To: Hernandez Tino (Mr AF); King MPST; Sir John Houghton; Stott, Peter;
          N.W.Arnell@soton.ac.uk; mike hulme; Jenkins, Geoff; john.ashton@co2.org;
          chris.anastasi@british-energy.com; Oleg.Eletskiy@britishcouncil.ru;
          Steve.Hunt@fco.gsi.gov.uk; Korobova Liya [FCO] - Moscow, Russia
          Cc: Evans Simon [FCO] - moscow, Russia; Monks Alan (Mr AR); Holmes John (Mr J);
          Clayton Jeremy (Mr JP); Hodges Joanne (Dr J)
          Subject: RE: Science Article
          Dear All,
          I realise I risk 'speaking out of place', but I do so on the back of several years'
          experience dealing with Russia on climate change.  I think the objective must be to
          calm things down to improve prospects for better and lower-key discussions in the
          future. Every attempt I have seen to "play hardball" with Russia on Kyoto since
          December 1997 has backfired, and fighting in open media would do worse. I have
          impresion that Illarionov's main aim is to paint Kyoto as a European-led conspiracy
          (presumably claiming it would constrain Russia's re-emergence as a Superpower), a
          theme that has emotional resonance in Russia; every added bit of pressure from the
          west makes life harder for his internal opponents in Russia, who are then painted as
          western puppets.  From that perspective, I can see no benefit at all to producing a
          'response' to the Science article, and I can see big potential risks.
          That's my view anyway.
          Michael
          -----Original Message-----
          From:   Hernandez Tino (Mr AF) [[3]mailto:Tino.Hernandez@dti.gsi.gov.uk]
          Sent:   Wed 7/14/2004 11:48 AM
          To:     King MPST; 'Sir John Houghton'; 'Stott, Peter'; 'N.W.Arnell@soton.ac.uk';
          'mike hulme'; 'Jenkins, Geoff'; 'john.ashton@co2.org'; Grubb, Michael J;
          'chris.anastasi@british-energy.com'; 'Oleg.Eletskiy@britishcouncil.ru';
          'Steve.Hunt@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; Korobova Liya [FCO] - Moscow, Russia
          Cc:     Evans Simon [FCO] - moscow, Russia; Monks Alan (Mr AR); Holmes John (Mr J);
          Clayton Jeremy (Mr JP); Hodges Joanne (Dr J)
          Subject:        RE: Science Article
          Hot Controversy Over Climate Meeting
           <<...OLE_Obj...>>
          A political hurricane blew through an international scientific meeting on
          climate change held in Moscow last week, sparking a major row between top
          advisers to the British and Russian governments. U.K. scientists complained
          that the meeting had been "hijacked" by opponents of the Kyoto Protocol,
          while Russian officials accused the British delegation, led by Chief
          Scientific Adviser David King, of trying to suppress dissenting views.

          War cry. Russia's Andrey Illarionov says Kyoto would trigger "undeclared
          war." CREDIT: STR/AP PHOTO
          Russia holds the key to the Kyoto climate treaty, which enters into force
          only if adopted by countries that together are responsible for at least 55%
          of the world's carbon dioxide output. In May, President Vladimir Putin
          hinted that he might ratify the treaty in exchange for the European Union's
          support of Russian membership in the World Trade Organization. That came
          shortly after the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) produced a report
          criticizing the protocol, saying it lacks scientific validity and would not
          be effective.
          British climate experts expected the meeting, organized by RAS, to be a
          forum to discuss global warming and the Kyoto treaty with RAS members. On
          the eve of their departure for Moscow, however, the U.K. group learned about
          the addition of several well-known "skeptics" in the climate change debate.
          The list included Stockholm University's Nils-Axel Mrner, who has cast
          doubts on claims of rising sea levels, British climate maverick Piers
          Corbyn, and the Pasteur Institute's Paul Reiter, who disputes predictions
          that infectious diseases will explode as temperatures rise.
          The new program was "unacceptable" to King, says Peter Cox of the U.K.'s
          Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter. "We knew that
          we would not get to the scientific issues if we went down every rabbit hole
          of skepticism." In fact, the opening session was delayed while King and RAS
          President Yuri Osipov attempted to negotiate an alternative agenda. King
          also asked British foreign secretary Jack Straw to intervene, several
          participants say. "It's very sad, but the Russian academy seems to have been
          take over" by Andrey Illarionov, a top adviser to President Putin and a
          vocal opponent of the Kyoto treaty, says John Houghton, another participant.
          At a press conference after the meeting, Illarionov called the treaty an
          "undeclared war against Russia," based on a "totalitarian ideology." But he
          denies having a hand in the agenda and says he was "shocked" by British
          attempts at "censorship."
          --MARTIN ENSERINK
          >  -----Original Message-----
          > From:         King MPST
          > Sent: 14 July 2004 11:11
          > To:   'Sir John Houghton'; 'Stott, Peter'; 'N.W.Arnell@soton.ac.uk'; 'mike
          > hulme'; 'Jenkins, Geoff'; 'john.ashton@co2.org'; 'Grubb, Michael J';
          > 'chris.anastasi@british-energy.com'; King MPST;
          > 'Oleg.Eletskiy@britishcouncil.ru'; 'Steve.Hunt@fco.gsi.gov.uk'; Korobova
          > Liya [FCO] - Moscow, Russia
          > Cc:   Evans Simon [FCO] - moscow, Russia; Monks Alan (Mr AR); Hernandez
          > Tino (Mr AF); Holmes John (Mr J); Clayton Jeremy (Mr JP); Hodges Joanne
          > (Dr J)
          > Subject:      Science Article
          >
          >
          >
          > Dear Colleague
          >
          > You may have seen the article which appeared in Science this morning
          > regarding our recent visit to Moscow (attached below).
          >
          > We are currently discussing the best way to deal with this here.  If you
          > are contacted by the media about this article, I would be very grateful if
          > you would contact our press office here (details below).  They are happy
          > to dispense advice on how best to answer any press enquiries.
          >
          > Tino Hernandez
          > Office: 0207 215 5965
          > Mobile: 07715 177 502
          >
          > Marion Heywood
          > Office: 0207 215 6140
          >
          > Many thanks
          >
          > Dave King
          >
          > ________________________________________
          > Sir David King
          > Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government
          > Office of Science and Technology
          > 1 Victoria Street
          > London
          > SW1H 0ET
          >
          > Tel  +44 (0) 20 7215 3825
          > Fax +44 (0) 20 7215 0314
          >
          >
          >  << File: 1.url >>
          >
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