date: Fri, 18 May 2007 08:23:39 -0600
from: Kevin Trenberth <trenbert@ucar.edu>
subject: Re: This and that
to: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>

   Hi Phil
   I am about to depart on 3 consecutive weeks of trips: to AGU next week, then to Crete for a
   hurricane mtg the following week, and then to Washington DC for a ocean obs mtg.  Meanwhile
   I have been finishing off an article for Scientific American on hurricanes and global
   warming.  It is very trying and they insist on putting in their own figures and ignoring
   the ones I sent and my suggestions.  I have had some influence but not enough.  Suspect
   this will lead to criticism.  Comes out about June 22 in July issue.
   I also was invited to respond to Nature for a new blog they have launched:
   We have launched the blog at [1]http://blogs.nature.com/climatefeedback and would very much
   welcome your input.
   So you will see one there that I posted.
   The New Scientist link looks useful.
   Cheers
   Kevin
   Phil Jones wrote:

      Kevin,
         Been meaning to email you!  Good that this error in Fig 3.18 was spotted and
      caught in time.
         Thanks for the ppt a few weeks ago. I've used them (well the earlier
      ones from Paris) in at least 4 talks - the Royal Society in London,
      the French Academy, in Seoul and at a local sugar beet research
      station and at a meeting in Spain last week.   Good also that now
      I can now leave a copy - basically about 20 slides that constitute 30
      minutes' talk.  Only done this for the last talk as the others
      were before the end of April.
         This link is good if you've not seen it.
      [2]http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/dn11462
       Helps to counter some of the awful papers that seem to be appearing
      (by Carter in some Australian metallurgical magazine and David
      Bellamy - in the Proc. Inst. Civil Engineers in the UK).  I won't
      bother emailing these unless you really want to read this
      rubbish.
      Cheers
      Phil
     At 04:41 18/05/2007, you wrote:

     Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
     X-MIME-Autoconverted: from 8bit to quoted-printable by moffatt.cgd.ucar.edu id
     l4I3fCYE001083
     Halldor
     I am attaching a corrected version of the figure.  You can see the reason
     it was changed was to alter the units from K/decade to degrees C per
     decade but unfortunately the label was altered also.
     Kevin Trenberth
     > Dear Martin,
     >
     > I hope that this figure will also be quickly fixed in the online version
     > of the
     > report. It's figures from the online version that find their way to public
     > presentations. This one (3.18) is very useful for model comparisons
     > (such as fig 9.1), but in its current form cannot be used for this
     > purpose.
     >
     > Furthermore, given the obscene amount of airtime the purported difference
     > between satellite data and surface measurements has gotten over the years
     > (even though the issue really was dealt with almost a decade ago), this
     > figure (3.18) is one of the more important ones in the chapter.
     >
     > Sincerely,
     >
     > Halldr
     >
     >
     > On 5/17/07, Martin Manning [3]<mmanning@al.noaa.gov> wrote:
     >>
     >>  Dear Dr Bjornsson
     >>
     >>  Thank you for identifying this typographic problem with Figure 3.18 of
     >> the
     >> WG I report. It appears that the X-axis label font was changed during
     >> the
     >> copy-editing and layout stages which led to the values on the axis no
     >> longer
     >> lining up with the grid lines. Thanks to your alertness we now expect to
     >> be
     >> able to fix this before the report is printed.
     >>
     >>  Regards
     >>  Martin Manning
     >>
     >>
     >> -------- Original Message --------
     >>  Subject: Typo in axis label fig 3.18
     >>  Date: Tue, 15 May 2007 02:21:25 +0000
     >>  From: halldor bjornsson [4]<halldor.bjornsson@gmail.com>
     >>  Reply-To: [5]halldor@vedur.is
     >>  To: [6]ipcc-wg1@al.noaa.gov
     >>
     >>
     >>
     >>  On p. 267 (page 33 of the 103 pages in chapter 3 downloaded from
     >>
     >> [7]http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Ch03.pdf) in the
     >> MSU discussion there is this paragraph:
     >>
     >> "Global time series from each of the MSU records are shown
     >> in Figure 3.17 and calculated global trends are depicted in
     >> Figure 3.18. These show a global cooling of the stratosphere
     >> (T4) of 0.32C to 0.47 C per decade and a global warming
     >> of the troposphere (T2) of 0.04C to 0.20C per decade for
     >> the period 1979 to 2004."
     >>
     >> This is fine, no problem there....
     >>
     >> The problem is that figure 3.18 shows negative trends throughout, - but
     >> with
     >> a marker line cutting through -0.2 on the X axis, but not 0, leading
     >> me to suspect that there is a typo in the X axis labels in Fig 3.18....
     >>
     >> Is this a typo?
     >>
     >> Sincerely,
     >> Halldor
     >> --
     >> Halldr Bjrnsson
     >> Deildarstj. Ranns. & run
     >> Veursvi Veurstofu slands
     >>
     >> Halldr Bjornsson
     >> Weatherservice R & D
     >> Icelandic Met. Office
     >>
     >>
     >>
     >>  --
     >> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
     >> IPCC WGI TSU
     >> NOAA Chemical Sciences Division
     >> 325 Broadway DSRC CSD08
     >> Boulder, CO 80305, USA
     >> Phone: +1 303 497 7072
     >> Fax: +1 303 497 5686/5628
     >> Email:
     >> [8]ipcc-wg1@al.noaa.gov
     >>
     >>
     >>  --
     >>  Recommended Email address: [9]mmanning@al.noaa.gov
     >>  Dr Martin R Manning, Director, IPCC WG I Support Unit
     >>  NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory  Phone: +1 303 497 4479
     >>  325 Broadway, R/CSD 2                     Fax:   +1 303 497 5628
     >>  Boulder, CO 80305, USA
     >
     >
     > --
     > Halldr Bjrnsson
     > Deildarstj. Ranns. & run
     > Veursvi Veurstofu slands
     >
     > Halldr Bjornsson
     > Weatherservice R & D
     > Icelandic Met. Office
     >
     ___________________
     Kevin Trenberth
     Climate Analysis Section, NCAR
     PO Box 3000
     Boulder CO 80307
     ph 303 497 1318
     [10]http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/trenbert.html

     Prof. Phil Jones
     Climatic Research Unit        Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
     School of Environmental Sciences    Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
     University of East Anglia
     Norwich                          Email    [11]p.jones@uea.ac.uk
     NR4 7TJ
     UK
     ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

--
****************
Kevin E. Trenberth                  e-mail: [12]trenbert@ucar.edu
Climate Analysis Section,           [13]www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/trenbert.html
NCAR
P. O. Box 3000,                     (303) 497 1318
Boulder, CO 80307                   (303) 497 1333 (fax)

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